ESPN: The Patriot League final going on right now — it’s American University 45, Holy Cross 29 as I write this — has got to be the least exciting conference championship in the country from a Giant Killer perspective. Both of these teams have had nice seasons, and American beat Army by a single point last Sunday just to get here. But they both commit more turnovers than they generate. And neither packs much scoring punch, even after adjusting for the fact that watching the Eagles play is like watching paint dry — their tempo ranks 329th in the country. Our model estimates American has just a 10.9% chance of pulling an upset if they make the Big Dance, and Holy Cross no chance at all. Go Eagles … I guess.
